{"id":3185,"date":"2020-04-24T01:41:33","date_gmt":"2020-04-24T01:41:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/demografia.rcm.upr.edu\/?page_id=3185"},"modified":"2020-04-24T01:41:33","modified_gmt":"2020-04-24T01:41:33","slug":"proyecciones","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/proyecciones\/","title":{"rendered":"Proyecciones"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wpb-content-wrapper\"><p>[vc_row][vc_column]<div id=\"ultimate-heading-414769d7e0ed3512b\" class=\"uvc-heading ult-adjust-bottom-margin ultimate-heading-414769d7e0ed3512b uvc-6105  uvc-heading-default-font-sizes\" data-hspacer=\"line_only\"  data-halign=\"left\" style=\"text-align:left\"><div class=\"uvc-main-heading ult-responsive\"  data-ultimate-target='.uvc-heading.ultimate-heading-414769d7e0ed3512b h2'  data-responsive-json-new='{\"font-size\":\"\",\"line-height\":\"\"}' ><h2 style=\"--font-weight:theme;\">Proyecciones<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"uvc-heading-spacer line_only\" style=\"topheight:1px;\"><span class=\"uvc-headings-line\" style=\"border-style:solid;border-bottom-width:1px;border-color:#ccc;width:autopx;\"><\/span><\/div><\/div>[vc_empty_space][vc_column_text]<\/p>\n<h3><strong>T\u00e9cnicas aplicadas a proyeccion de\u00a0poblaci\u00f3n\u00a0y sus variantes<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Proyecciones Modelo Lineal<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>El modelo lineal, tambi\u00e9n conocido como modelo aritm\u00e9tico asume que el crecimiento de la poblaci\u00f3n ocurre a raz\u00f3n de incrementos iguales por a\u00f1o, d\u00e9cada u otra unidad de tiempo.<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\">Ecuaci\u00f3n lineal<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6613 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-lineal-a.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"208\" height=\"41\" \/>donde<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6615 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-lineal-ab.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"222\" height=\"77\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\">Ecuaci\u00f3n regresi\u00f3n lineal<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6614 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-lineal-b.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"153\" height=\"33\" srcset=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-lineal-b.png 153w, https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-lineal-b-150x33.png 150w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 153px) 100vw, 153px\" \/>donde<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6616\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-lineal-ba.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"208\" height=\"70\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-6617 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-lineal-bb-300x76.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"76\" srcset=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-lineal-bb-300x76.png 300w, https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-lineal-bb.png 302w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong>Proyecciones Modelo Exponencial<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>El modelo exponencial asume que el crecimiento de la poblaci\u00f3n ocurre a:<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6618\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-Exponencial.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"272\" height=\"68\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\">donde<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6620\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-Exponencial-Y.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"248\" height=\"64\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6621 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-Exponencial-a.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"150\" height=\"68\" \/><\/p>\n<p><strong><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6619 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-Exponencial-b.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"243\" height=\"72\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Modelo Exponencial Modificado<\/strong>\u00a0es una variaci\u00f3n donde el modelo asume que hay un r\u00e1pido crecimiento inicial que se hace m\u00e1s lento en los a\u00f1os recientes. Este modelo parte del supuesto de que la poblaci\u00f3n alcanza su m\u00e1ximo crecimiento en la l\u00ednea K. \u00a0Este modelo puede utilizarse en localidades que previamente han experimentado un r\u00e1pido crecimiento y que actualmente crecen a menor velocidad.<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-6622 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-Exponencial-Modificada-300x52.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"52\" srcset=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-Exponencial-Modificada-300x52.png 300w, https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-Exponencial-Modificada.png 304w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\">donde<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-6623 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-Exponencial-Modificada-V.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"264\" height=\"91\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6624 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-Logistico.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"296\" height=\"101\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\">donde<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-6625\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-Logistico-a.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"240\" height=\"79\" \/><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-medium wp-image-6626 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/10\/Proyecciones-Logistico-b.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"248\" height=\"74\" \/>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p>\n<\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[vc_row][vc_column][vc_empty_space][vc_column_text] T\u00e9cnicas aplicadas a proyeccion de\u00a0poblaci\u00f3n\u00a0y sus variantes &nbsp; Proyecciones Modelo Lineal El modelo lineal, tambi\u00e9n conocido como modelo aritm\u00e9tico asume que el crecimiento de la poblaci\u00f3n ocurre a raz\u00f3n de incrementos iguales por a\u00f1o, d\u00e9cada u otra unidad de tiempo. Ecuaci\u00f3n lineal donde &nbsp; Ecuaci\u00f3n regresi\u00f3n lineal donde Proyecciones Modelo Exponencial El modelo exponencial&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"template-microsite.php","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-3185","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry","description-off"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/3185","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3185"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/3185\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3185"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}