{"id":3195,"date":"2020-04-24T01:41:33","date_gmt":"2020-04-24T01:41:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/demografia.rcm.upr.edu\/?page_id=3195"},"modified":"2020-04-24T01:41:33","modified_gmt":"2020-04-24T01:41:33","slug":"estimaciones","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/estimaciones\/","title":{"rendered":"Estimaciones"},"content":{"rendered":"<div class=\"wpb-content-wrapper\"><p>[vc_row][vc_column]<div id=\"ultimate-heading-166769f033e4de3a1\" class=\"uvc-heading ult-adjust-bottom-margin ultimate-heading-166769f033e4de3a1 uvc-6713  uvc-heading-default-font-sizes\" data-hspacer=\"line_only\"  data-halign=\"left\" style=\"text-align:left\"><div class=\"uvc-main-heading ult-responsive\"  data-ultimate-target='.uvc-heading.ultimate-heading-166769f033e4de3a1 h2'  data-responsive-json-new='{\"font-size\":\"\",\"line-height\":\"\"}' ><h2 style=\"--font-weight:theme;\">Estimaciones<\/h2><\/div><div class=\"uvc-heading-spacer line_only\" style=\"topheight:1px;\"><span class=\"uvc-headings-line\" style=\"border-style:solid;border-bottom-width:1px;border-color:#ccc;width:autopx;\"><\/span><\/div><\/div>[vc_empty_space][vc_column_text]<\/p>\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\"><strong>T\u00e9cnicas aplicadas a las estimaciones de poblaci\u00f3n y sus variantes<\/strong><\/h3>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p> <img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2940 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/03\/Estimacion-Log-tm.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"216\" height=\"83\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Estimaciones Intercensales Modelo Lineal<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>El modelo lineal, tambi\u00e9n conocido como modelo aritm\u00e9tico asume que el crecimiento de la poblaci\u00f3n ocurre a raz\u00f3n de incrementos iguales por a\u00f1o, d\u00e9cada u otra unidad de tiempo. Tambi\u00e9n asume que el crecimiento seguir\u00e1 un patr\u00f3n similar en el futuro. Este modelo conviene usarlo cuando el patr\u00f3n de crecimiento es similar a una l\u00ednea recta. Esta herramienta es \u00fatil especialmente cuando se proyecta \u00e1reas que tienen crecimiento lento.\u00a0Para realizar la aplicaci\u00f3n domaremos dos formas para realizarlo:<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><\/figure>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2934 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/03\/Estimacion-Lineal-a.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"239\" height=\"47\" \/> o\u00a0<img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2935 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/03\/Estimacion-Lineal-b.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"209\" height=\"47\" \/>\u00a0donde<\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><\/figure>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><\/figure>\n<p><strong><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-medium wp-image-2936 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/03\/Estimacion-Lineal-by-300x138.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"300\" height=\"138\" srcset=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/03\/Estimacion-Lineal-by-300x138.png 300w, https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/03\/Estimacion-Lineal-by.png 373w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 300px) 100vw, 300px\" \/><\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Estimaciones Intercensales Modelo Geom\u00e9trico<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2933 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/03\/Estimacion-Geometrico.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"292\" height=\"67\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Estimaciones Intercensales Modelo Exponencial<\/strong><\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2932 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/03\/Estimacin_exponencial.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"292\" height=\"67\" \/><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p><strong>Estimaciones Intercensales Modelo Log\u00edstico<\/strong><\/p>\n<p>&nbsp;<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><\/figure>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"alignnone size-full wp-image-2938 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/03\/Estimacion-Log-Pt.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"244\" height=\"88\" \/><\/p>\n<p style=\"text-align: center\">donde<\/p>\n<p><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-full wp-image-2937 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-content\/uploads\/sites\/30\/2020\/03\/Estimacion-Log-a.png\" alt=\"\" width=\"144\" height=\"115\" \/><\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><\/figure>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image\"><\/figure>\n<p>[\/vc_column_text][\/vc_column][\/vc_row]<\/p><\/div>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>[vc_row][vc_column][vc_empty_space][vc_column_text] T\u00e9cnicas aplicadas a las estimaciones de poblaci\u00f3n y sus variantes &nbsp; &nbsp; Estimaciones Intercensales Modelo Lineal El modelo lineal, tambi\u00e9n conocido como modelo aritm\u00e9tico asume que el crecimiento de la poblaci\u00f3n ocurre a raz\u00f3n de incrementos iguales por a\u00f1o, d\u00e9cada u otra unidad de tiempo. Tambi\u00e9n asume que el crecimiento seguir\u00e1 un patr\u00f3n similar&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"parent":0,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"template-microsite.php","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-3195","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry","description-off"],"aioseo_notices":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/3195","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/page"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=3195"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/pages\/3195\/revisions"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/rcm1.rcm.upr.edu\/demografia\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=3195"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}